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It's Fedor Week!
In honor of Fedor's first consequential fight in nearly three years, we'll be devoting our coverage this week to the career of one of the sport's all-time greats. We'll be releasing new stats and analysis every day this week. Here's the Fedor Week schedule:Monday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Semmy SchiltTuesday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira IWednesday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira IIIThursday: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Mirko "CroCop" FilipovicFriday: Fedor Emelianenko Career TPR Report Check out how Fedor fared in his first Pride fight and make sure to come back this week for more Fedor fun.
The Numbers that Matter from Griffin vs. Rampage
We kind of left you in a lurch posting just the stats from the fight but not any explanation. We've got a guest-post up at FanHouse to break down some of the numbers from this fight including answers to:Check out the whole article over at FanHouse.
Forrest vs. Rampage
We've posted the stats from the fight between Forrest Griffin vs. Rampage Jackson . Stay tuned for a full analysis on what these stats actually say and for more coverage of UFC 86.
FightMetric on FanHouse
We did a guest post on AOL's FanHouse sports blog breaking down some stats from Rampage's career. Check it out here.You can take a look at the full career report, consisting of his 21 fights from Pride, the UFC, and the WFA that form the basis for the article. Check back in next week for more stats from UFC 86.
The Mother of All Battles
We've uploaded a huge amount of content in the last few days, you should check out the homepage for career reports for Rampage Jackson and Forrest Griffin, along with a bunch of their fights.But the biggest addition is the biggest fight in MMA history: the match between Forrest Griffin and Stephan Bonnar to conclude the first season of The Ultimate Fighter.The stats are interesting for the sheer volumes we're dealing with. The total effectiveness scores are 459 and 405. Remember that an average 15-minute fight would have an average score of 180. The combined total of 864 points is, by a large margin, the highest-scoring fight we've ever come across. The next highest total was for the Diego Sanchez-Karo Parisyan fight, with a total of 756.
'Page Fought "The Law" and "The Law" Won
Or at least that's the conclusion one could draw from the report released today with stats from the fight between Quinton "Rampage" Jackson and Matt Lindland. The FightMetric system gives the fight to Lindland 29-28 for winning rounds one and three.
But that's only half the story. The overall scores for the fight are 159-163, which falls within FightMetric's four-point margin for error. That means the fight overall is a draw, which sounds more than reasonable. While Rampage landed more effective strikes, Lindland stayed busy on the ground and attempted five submissions.
What we're learning over the course of the FightMetric project is that there probably should be many more draws in MMA than are actually called. In many cases, a controversial decision is controversial because the fight really was too close to call. But the ten-point must system makes fools of us all when judges refuse to call 10-10 rounds. Calling a round even carries the stigma of indecision, as if a better judge should have been able to spot the victor, even when there fairly shouldn't be one.
Will this change anytime soon? Probably not. The reason seems clear: A close decision disappoints only the fans that thought the losing fighter won; a draw disappoints almost everyone.
Grove-Tanner and the Phantom Split Decision
The nice thing about a split decision is that it counts just the same as a unanimous decision, a knockout, or a submission. So when a rogue judge gives the fight to your opponent, at least the two correct judges can grant you the win you rightfully deserve. So for Kendall Grove, it's all the same in practicality. It's left to us, the fans, to debate and discuss what happened in the mind of the dissenting judge who gave the fight to Tanner. We've released the stats for Grove vs. Tanner, and the results shouldn't shock anyone but Al Lefkowitz. FightMetric sees all three rounds for Grove, with only the third round conceivably close enough to grant to Tanner. The first round goes to Grove, who outstruck Tanner 16-4. The second round was clearly in favor of Grove, and while the FightMetric system calls the round 10-9, it was pretty close to the threshold after which the round would be called 10-8, as two judges called it. The third round was scored 66-61 for Grove in terms of effectiveness, though after factoring in damage, the score goes up to 73-61. Giving that round to Tanner seems justified.
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