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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

How and When Do UFC Fights End?

Over time, it seems, people are starting to latch-on to the idea of numbers and their role in MMA. It may still be a while before the hardcore analytics are widespread, but it's nice to see people asking questions about the sport and then looking for actual data instead of just guessing at the answer.

I got a tip from Pramit Mohapatra of FightTicker. com (one of the more intelligent and well-spoken online MMA communities) of a nice debate going on regarding the length of fights and the methods by which they're finished. He asked for some real data on the question of finishes vs. time and we were happy to provide it.

Check out Pramit's post with the results to see answers to the big questions:

  • Do fight finishes diminish as the fight goes longer?
  • Does the trend apply to both KO/TKO's and submissions?
  • Are you more likely to see a last-minute knockout or a last-minute submission?

2 Comments:

At January 28, 2009 5:36 PM , Blogger Chris said...

Just wondering, what percentage of fights end in a decision? And what are the odds that a 5-round title fight will go to a decision once it goes three rounds without a finish?

 
At January 29, 2009 9:48 AM , Blogger FightMetric said...

Hi Chris,

The number for UFC bouts since UFC 28 is 32% decisions. And since UFC 28 there have been 23 championship bouts that have gone past the third round. Of those 23, only five were finished, the rest were decisions.

 

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