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Sunday, January 25, 2009

Fedor Emelianenko vs. Lyoto Machida

First things first: We're still looking for volunteers for the Reach Data Project. It takes very little time to participate and it would help us a great deal.

We have a few new things up today. The first is an updated report on Fedor, which now includes the bout against Andrei Arlovski. The other new material all relates to Lyoto Machida, including a career report, and reports on his fights against Sam Greco and Sam Hoger.

Most people wouldn't put Machida in the same league as Fedor (at least not yet), but there is something very important that ties the two together. To demostrate, let's play a little matching game.

One of the best ways to measure effective defense and dominance is to look at the number of strikes a fighter absorbs. Because of variable fight lengths, the easiest way to consistently calculate this is to figure the number of strikes absorbed divided by the number of minutes fought. That gives you the number of strikes absorbed per minute of fighting, which we abbreviate as SApM. Here are some SApM figures for the five current UFC champions:

Fighter A: 0.71 SApM
Fighter B: 1.01 SApM
Fighter C: 1.23 SApM
Fighter D: 1.39 SApM
Fighter E: 2.7 SApM

The fighters in question are (in alphabetical order): Rashad Evans, Frank Mir, BJ Penn, Anderson Silva, and Georges St. Pierre. Can you guess which SApM number belongs to which fighter? The answers are pretty predictable:

Anderson Silva: 0.71 SApM
BJ Penn: 1.23 SApM
Rashad Evans: 1.39 SApM
Frank Mir: 2.7 SApM

Let's wrap things up with two more fighters' numbers:

Lyoto Machida: 0.64 SApM

Both Fedor and Machida have proven harder to hit than all of the UFC's champions. And it's not like there is a shortage of data on any of these guys. These numbers are from their entire careers. Does it mean Fedor and Machida are better than the other fighters? Not necessarily...this is just one subset of their entire fighting profile. But it is interesting to note that Fedor and Machida come in #1 and #2 in terms of the hardest guys to hit in MMA history.

9 Comments:

At January 25, 2009 4:14 PM , Blogger G-Off said...

Really interesting stuff! I'll love to see SApM be a regular feature of fight reports. Plus, a larger database of that would confirm that Lyoto and Fedor are #1 and #2. If I'm seeing this right, they're #1 and 2 so far out of themselves and the UFC champions only.

You also forgot one fight for Machida's TPR report: his first career fight against Kengo Watanabe. Great stuff though!

 
At January 25, 2009 5:08 PM , Blogger FightMetric said...

Sadly, there's no complete video of the fight against Kengo that I could locate. I'd add it if someone could find the footage.

As of yet, Fedor and Machida are #1 and #2 of all time (with a minimum of 10 fights) in terms of lowest SApM.

 
At January 30, 2009 5:50 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have the entire fight in .mpg format

 
At February 1, 2009 3:10 AM , Blogger G-Off said...

HAH! Did you hear during the UFC 94 broadcast?

Mike Goldberg: "Statistically, he (Lyoto Machida) has absorbed the fewest strikes in UFC history."

Please call him up and tell him #1 to give you credit for your stats (pretty sure the UFC doesn't keep stats like that) and #2 to say them correctly on the air. He's absorbed the fewest strikes per minute, Goldy, not overall.

 
At October 25, 2009 1:34 AM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

...You realize Fedor has a better SApM because he is on the ground more while Machida is on his feet all the time because he doesnt grapple?

 
At October 25, 2009 1:41 AM , Blogger G-Off said...

Not the point. Goldberg didn't specify on the feet or standing. The numbers tell us that, straight up, Fedor gets hit less than Lyoto Machida. The end.

 
At November 17, 2009 11:28 PM , Blogger Andrew said...

G-Off, Goldberg also said in UFC history.. correct me if I'm wrong but Fedor has never been in UFC.

 
At November 18, 2009 12:08 AM , Blogger G-Off said...

Andrew, I wrote it wrong, Goldberg actually said "In MMA history" if I remember correctly.

 
At November 30, 2009 1:49 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

GrEeTiNgS, www.fightmetric.com!
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